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Aligning Pediatric Waiting List and Post-Transplant Outcomes with the Adult Lung Allocation Score

M. Skeans1, A. Wey1, E. Lease2, C. Lehr3, J. Alcorn4, R. Goff4, D. Stewart4, M. Valapour3

1SRTR, Minneapolis, MN, 2Univ of Washington, Seattle, WA, 3Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, 4UNOS, Richmond, VA

Meeting: 2021 American Transplant Congress

Abstract number: 490

Keywords: Allocation, Lung, Outcome, Pediatric

Topic: Administrative » Quality Assurance Process Improvement & Regulatory Issues

Session Information

Session Name: Quality Assurance Process Improvement & Regulatory Issues

Session Type: Poster Abstract

Session Date & Time: None. Available on demand.

Location: Virtual

*Purpose: Lung allocation is moving toward a continuous distribution framework (CDF), with components for waitlist (WL) urgency and post-transplant (PT) survival, as computed in LAS. Candidates aged 0-11 years are excluded from LAS models and classified as Priority I (more urgent) or II. We computed expected WL and PT survival in this cohort to be used in the CDF to align with candidates aged ≥12 years who receive a lung allocation score (LAS).

*Methods: We estimated predicted number of WL survival days within a year (WLAUC) and predicted number of PT survival days within a year (PTAUC) for Priority I and II candidates. Model cohorts included candidates and recipients aged 0-11 years from September 12, 2010 to January 31, 2019. WL follow-up was censored on the earliest of 1 year after joining the cohort; removal from the WL; January 31, 2020; or the candidate’s 12th birthday. Outcome was 1-year WL survival. PT follow-up was censored at 1-year PT. Outcome was 1-year PT survival. We fit Cox proportional hazards models, each with one covariate: Priority I vs. II. Each model generated a baseline survival function and an estimate associated with Priority I. From these, we computed the WLAUC and PTAUC for Priority I and II. We computed LAS(p) as a function of WLAUC and PTAUC, similar to LAS.

*Results: The WL cohort included 271 candidates, 54 (19.9%) of whom died waiting. Among 136 recipients, 51 (18.8%) died within 1 PT year. About half of patients (49.1%) were Priority I at cohort entry, and 58.1% were Priority I at transplant. Priority I was a risk factor for 1-year WL death but not 1-year PT death (Figure). Priority I and II patients were predicted to live 247 and 325 days, respectively, on the WL and 333 and 328 days PT. Priority I and II patients had effective median LAS(p) of 52.0 and 37.3, respectively (Table).

*Conclusions: Pediatric Priority can be aligned with LAS to allow pediatric patients to receive points for WL urgency and PT survival in a CDF. Pediatric priority is associated with WL mortality but not PT mortality.

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To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Skeans M, Wey A, Lease E, Lehr C, Alcorn J, Goff R, Stewart D, Valapour M. Aligning Pediatric Waiting List and Post-Transplant Outcomes with the Adult Lung Allocation Score [abstract]. Am J Transplant. 2021; 21 (suppl 3). https://atcmeetingabstracts.com/abstract/aligning-pediatric-waiting-list-and-post-transplant-outcomes-with-the-adult-lung-allocation-score/. Accessed May 24, 2025.

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