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Survival Benefit of ECD Transplantation After Ultra-Long Dialysis Exposure: Implications for Acceptance in the New KAS

C. Kennedy, J. Dong, T. Myint, C. Rose, O. Johnston, J. Gill, J. Gill.

Division of Nephrology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

Meeting: 2015 American Transplant Congress

Abstract number: 87

Keywords: Donors, marginal, Multivariate analysis, Survival, Waiting lists

Session Information

Date: Sunday, May 3, 2015

Session Name: Concurrent Session: Economics, Policy and Ethics

Session Time: 4:00pm-5:30pm

 Presentation Time: 4:48pm-5:00pm

Location: Room 118-C

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The survival benefit of ECD transplantation varies with the duration of pre-transplant dialysis exposure.

We analyzed the survival benefit of ECD transplantation (Kidney Donor Profile Index ≥85%) among 58,672 adult wait-listed patients who initiated dialysis between 1995-2007 and had “ultra-long” pre-transplant dialysis exposure (dialysis treatment ≥ 5 years).

We used multivariate non-proportional hazards analysis, with transplantation treated as a time-dependent covariate to account for the fact that patients switched from dialysis to transplantation at different times. Follow-up was censored at the time of transplantation from a living donor or at the time of permanent removal from the wait-list. To determine the survival benefit under conditions where there is no opportunity for SCD transplantation, we repeated the above model with follow-up censored at the time of transplantation from a deceased donor with a KDPI <85%.

ECD transplantation was associated with an increased risk of death compared to the alternative of remaining on the wait-list or SCD transplantation (figure). These findings were consistent in sub-group analyses (table).

Survival Benefit of ECD Transplantation in Following Ultra-Long Dialysis Exposure
Subgroups of wait-listed patients with dialysis exposure of ≥ 5 years Hazard Ratio for death with ECD TX versus wait-listing or SCD TX Hazard Ratio for death with ECD TX vs wait-listing
Diabetic (n=23,166) 1.36 (1.25,1.47) 1.14 (1.05,1.25)
Non diabetic (n=35,506) 1.70 (1.58,1.82) 1.37 (1.26,1.48)
Age<60 years (n=44,120) 1.66 (1.57,177) 1.42 (1.33,1.51)
Age>60 years (n=14,552) 1.29 (1.17,1.42) 0.97 (0.87,1.08)

Surprisingly, even when censoring for SCD transplantation, there was still a higher risk of death among ECD recipients and this was consistent in all sub-groups except patients ≥ 60 years (Table).

These findings suggest that ECD transplantation may not be beneficial for patients with ultra-long dialysis exposure, with the possible exception of those ≥ 60 years with no possibility for SCD transplantation.

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To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Kennedy C, Dong J, Myint T, Rose C, Johnston O, Gill J, Gill J. Survival Benefit of ECD Transplantation After Ultra-Long Dialysis Exposure: Implications for Acceptance in the New KAS [abstract]. Am J Transplant. 2015; 15 (suppl 3). https://atcmeetingabstracts.com/abstract/survival-benefit-of-ecd-transplantation-after-ultra-long-dialysis-exposure-implications-for-acceptance-in-the-new-kas/. Accessed January 17, 2021.

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