Predictors of Time to Recurrence and Mortality Associated With Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation
Transplantation, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA.
Meeting: 2015 American Transplant Congress
Abstract number: 315
Keywords: Hepatocellular carcinoma, Liver transplantation, Mortality, Recurrence
Session Information
Session Name: Concurrent Session: Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Session Type: Concurrent Session
Date: Monday, May 4, 2015
Session Time: 4:00pm-5:30pm
Presentation Time: 4:48pm-5:00pm
Location: Room 113-BC
Background: While recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT) portends a poor prognosis, adjuvant therapy may prolong survival. We sought to identify factors that impact time to recurrence and mortality after recurrence, thus stratifying patients to guide treatment.
Methods: Retrospective analysis of 856 recipients undergoing LT for HCC from 1984 to 2014 identified 106 patients with recurrent tumor. A multivariate Cox regression identified factors affecting time to recurrence and mortality.
Results: Of 106 patients with recurrence, the median time to recurrence and survival after recurrence were 15.8 months (IQR 6.8-33.1) and 10.3 months (IQR 3.8-20.2), respectively (Figure 1), with 19 patients alive (median survival 27.5 months, five 5-year survivors).Multivariate predictors of time to recurrence and mortality are listed in Table 1 and Table 2, respectively.
Predictor | Decrease in time to recurrence(median,months) | 95% Confidence Interval | P-value |
Tumor grade 3-4 vs 1 | 22.56 | 15.48-29.65 | <0.001 |
Tumor grade 2 vs 1 | 13.32 | 6.55-20.09 | <0.001 |
Maximum Pre-LT AFP (per log SD increase) | 4.64 | 2.71-6.58 | <0.001 |
Maximum tumor diameter (per log SD increase) | 1.74 | 0.15-3.63 | 0.072 |
Predictor | Hazard Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | P-value |
Post-Recurrence Therapy | |||
No treatment (vs surgery) | 10.32 | 2.2-49.0 | 0.003 |
Chemo/XRT/none (vs surgery) | 4.86 | 1.1-21.7 | 0.038 |
Tumor grade 4 | 2.49 | 1.0-6.1 | 0.045 |
MELD > 23 | 2.41 | 1.3-4.5 | 0.005 |
Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio > 17 | 2.40 | 1.1-5.1 | 0.022 |
Time to recurrence < 7 months | 2.12 | 1.2-3.8 | 0.010 |
No. of recurrent nodules > 3 | 1.90 | 1.1-3.2 | 0.017 |
Bone/Brain reccurence | 1.63 | 0.98-2.7 | 0.059 |
Max diameter of largest recurrence(per log SD increase) | 1.51 | 1.2-1.9 | 0.001 |
To cite this abstract in AMA style:
Bodzin A, Reino D, Lunsford K, Harlander-Locke M, Markovich D, Zarrinpar A, Kaldas F, Farmer D, Busuttil R, Agopian V. Predictors of Time to Recurrence and Mortality Associated With Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation [abstract]. Am J Transplant. 2015; 15 (suppl 3). https://atcmeetingabstracts.com/abstract/predictors-of-time-to-recurrence-and-mortality-associated-with-recurrent-hepatocellular-carcinoma-after-liver-transplantation/. Accessed November 21, 2024.« Back to 2015 American Transplant Congress