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Predictive Index for Liver Retransplantation

C. Christmann, G. Handing, M. McDonald, A. Anand, S. Keeling, N. T. Galván, R. Cotton, C. O'Mahony, J. Goss, A. Rana

Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX

Meeting: 2021 American Transplant Congress

Abstract number: 338

Keywords: Liver transplantation, Mortality, Prediction models, Retransplantation

Topic: Clinical Science » Liver » Liver: Retransplantation and Other Complications

Session Information

Session Name: Post Liver Transplant Management and Complications

Session Type: Rapid Fire Oral Abstract

Date: Tuesday, June 8, 2021

Session Time: 4:30pm-5:30pm

 Presentation Time: 4:50pm-4:55pm

Location: Virtual

*Purpose: Given the increase in demand for donor livers, it has become more critical than ever to predict mortality in order to identify the best possible use of a donor organ. This is particularly true in cases involving retransplantation, which is increasing in prevalence despite overall poorer outcomes. Our aim was to develop a predictive index for liver retransplantation to predict mortality based on donor and recipient characteristics.

*Methods: Using the OPTN database, we performed univariate and multivariate analysis on 5,183 liver retransplantations to identify independent donor and recipient risk and protective factors for post-transplant mortality. This retrospective analysis was used to create a weighted score that can be used to predict post-retransplant mortality.

*Results: We found 14 factors to be significant and weighted them according to their odds ratio to generate an r-SOFT (Retransplant Survival Outcomes following Liver Transplantation) score with a C-statistic of 0.705. We then generated a Kaplan-Meier curve to estimate survival at ten years post-retransplant, stratifying patients into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups by tertile. The most significant risk factors for post-transplant mortality were hemodialysis prior to transplant and poor functional status, while the most significant protective factors were a short cold ischemia time and recipient age below 30.

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*Conclusions: This scoring system can be used to predict mortality post-transplant for patients who have already received a liver transplant. It uses criteria from both the donor and the recipient in order to aid decision-making for patients requiring a second liver and identify transplant patients at particularly high risk.

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To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Christmann C, Handing G, McDonald M, Anand A, Keeling S, Galván NT, Cotton R, O'Mahony C, Goss J, Rana A. Predictive Index for Liver Retransplantation [abstract]. Am J Transplant. 2021; 21 (suppl 3). https://atcmeetingabstracts.com/abstract/predictive-index-for-liver-retransplantation/. Accessed May 16, 2025.

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