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Independent Prognostic Factors for Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Orthotopic Liver Transplantation: UNOS Population Study

M. Xing, H. Kim.

Interventional Radiology, Department of Radiology, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA.

Meeting: 2015 American Transplant Congress

Abstract number: 311

Keywords: Hepatocellular carcinoma

Session Information

Session Name: Concurrent Session: Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Session Type: Concurrent Session

Date: Monday, May 4, 2015

Session Time: 4:00pm-5:30pm

 Presentation Time: 4:00pm-4:12pm

Location: Room 113-BC

Background: The impact of regional differences in bridging locoregional therapy (LRT) use and wait times on overall survival (OS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) have not been investigated in large-scale population studies.

Methods: HCC patients listed for OLT from 2002-2013 and transplanted up to 2014 were identified on the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Patients within Milan Criteria with approved HCC MELD exception were included. OS was stratified by UNOS regions with high mean wait times (HWT; defined as >180 days), low wait times (LWT), high rates of LRT (defined as >25% of patients with ≥1 LRT) and low LRT use. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analysis.

Results: Of 17291 patients with HCC listed for OLT, 14511 received OLT, mean age 57.4 yrs, 76.8% male; 3889 received LRT. Comparison groups were similar for gender, race, body mass index (BMI), etiology of HCC, biological MELD scores and warm ischemic time (p>0.05 for all). Significant differences in mean OS in regions with HWT/high LRT (122.4 mo), HWT/low LRT (104.5 mo), LWT/high LRT (104.2 mo) and LWT/low LRT (102.3 mo) were observed, p=0.0006. Recipient age, donor age, bridging LRT and longer wait times were found to be independent prognostic factors of survival from OLT.

Prognostic Factor Parameters Compared Univariate Analysis HR (95% CI) p-value Multivariate Analysis HR (95% CI) p-value
Age >65 vs. ≤65 years 1.71 (1.44-2.94) <0.001 1.37 (1.23-1.54) <0.001
Donor Age >45 vs. ≤45 years 1.86 (1.67-2.19) <0.001 1.38 (1.30-1.58) <0.001
Gender Male vs. Female 0.80 (0.26-2.45) 0.61 – –
Donor Gender Male vs. Female 1.28 (0.41-3.98) 0.69 – –
Body Mass Index (BMI) >25 vs. ≤25 1.02 (0.39-2.65) 0.97 – –
Bridging LRT Present vs. Absent 2.45 (1.93-2.49) <0.001 2.28 (1.32-3.14) 0.003
Wait Time ≤180 vs. >180 days 2.69 (1.77-3.40) <0.001 2.41 (1.25-3.26) <0.001
Etiology of HCC Hepatitis B/C vs. Other 1.45 (0.33-6.44) 0.62 – –

Conc: In HCC patients undergoing OLT, age, donor age, high wait times and bridging LRT were significant independent prognostic factors for survival.

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To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Xing M, Kim H. Independent Prognostic Factors for Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Orthotopic Liver Transplantation: UNOS Population Study [abstract]. Am J Transplant. 2015; 15 (suppl 3). https://atcmeetingabstracts.com/abstract/independent-prognostic-factors-for-survival-in-hepatocellular-carcinoma-patients-undergoing-orthotopic-liver-transplantation-unos-population-study/. Accessed May 17, 2025.

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