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High Creatinine and Advanced Chronic Rejection (CR) Predicts Graft Loss in Non Adherent Kidney Transplant Recipients

B. Bista, S. Jackson, N. Issa, A. Matas, A. Kukla

University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN

Meeting: 2013 American Transplant Congress

Abstract number: C1304

The risk factors for graft loss in kidney transplant recipients (KTR) with non-adherence (NA) to immunosupression who present with rejection are not known.

We analyzed 208 NA KTR with biopsy (bx) proven acute rejection (AR) from 1984-2012. Proportional hazards regression was used to analyze time from bx to graft failure, adjusting for the following covariates: demographics, treatment of acute rejection (AR),serum creatinine (cr) at the bx, time from transplant to bx and severity of AR and chronic rejection (CR) (per Banff schema).

Results: Mean time from transplant to bx was 26.1 mos±38.7. Eighty four recipients (41%) did not receive any treatment for AR (group 1), while the remaining patients received either depleting antibody [n=27; 13.2% -group 2] or steroids alone [n=93; 45.6% -group 3]. Mean cr [mg/dl] was 5.0±5.8, 2.8±1.8 and 2.8±2.2 in groups 1,2 and 3 respectively. Mean AR grade was borderline, 1B and 1A in group 1,2 and 3 respectively (p<0.0001). There was no difference in chronicity grade between the groups.

In multivariate analysis, only higher cr at bx (by 1.0 mg/dl) and higher CR grade was associated with an increased risk of graft failure (Table1).

Cox Proportional Hazards Regression from Biopsy to Graft Failure
Variable Risk of Graft Failure
  HR (95% CI) pvalue
Age at Transplant (years) 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.26
Female 1.44 (0.95, 2.19) 0.09
Race
Black 1.41 (0.70, 2.84) 0.34
Other 1.64 (0.86, 3.14) 0.14
White reference  
Time from Tx to Bx (months) 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) 0.85
Acute Rejection 1.04 (0.88, 1.24) 0.64
Chronic Rejection 1.52 (1.14, 2.03) 0.01
Creatinine at bx (increase by 1.0 mg/dl) 1.22 (1.14, 1.30) 0.01
Treatment for rejection:
Antibody 1.26 (0.68, 2.33) 0.46
Steroids 0.82 (0.53, 1.27) 0.38
None reference  

When graft outcomes were analyzed based on the Cr levels at the time of bx, adjusted for other covariates, risk for graft failure was the highest in recipients with creatinine >7 mg/dl (Table 2)

Risk of Graft Failure Adjusted for Creatinine Levels at Biopsy
Creatinine at bx [mg/dl] Graft failure p-value
<2 Reference Reference
2-3 1.78 0.04
3-5 2.86 p<0.01
5-7 3.05 p=0.02
>7 15.81 p<0.01

There was no difference in actuarial graft survival between treatment groups.

Conclusion: Higher Cr at biopsy and higher CR grade predicts graft loss in non-adherent KTRs. Treatment of AR may not prolong graft survival in NA patients, especially if advanced CR is present.

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To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Bista B, Jackson S, Issa N, Matas A, Kukla A. High Creatinine and Advanced Chronic Rejection (CR) Predicts Graft Loss in Non Adherent Kidney Transplant Recipients [abstract]. Am J Transplant. 2013; 13 (suppl 5). https://atcmeetingabstracts.com/abstract/high-creatinine-and-advanced-chronic-rejection-cr-predicts-graft-loss-in-non-adherent-kidney-transplant-recipients/. Accessed May 14, 2025.

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